Looking at the NFL Record Books and Pondering the “What-if”

2012 turned out to be a record breaking year for some while some came oh so close to breaking other records. While Detroit Lions wide receiver Calvin Johnson passed Jerry Rice as the single-season receiving yards leader, but narrowly missed becoming the first ever to get 2,000 receiving yards, coming up short by just 36-yards.

Meanwhile Adrian Peterson became the seventh running back to rush for over 2,000-yards while coming up 9-yards short of surpassing Eric Dickerson’s 2,105 single season rushing mark.

And so after the game the comparisons started, who was truly better. Both Dickerson and Peterson played in a 16-game season and played all 16-games, but Dickerson had 31 more rushing attempts to get his record. One more run for Peterson and he would have gotten the record.

But what about O.J. Simpson?

O.J. Simpson 640x360

He was the only running back to rush for 2,000-yards in a 14-game season.  What if Simpson had played in a 16-game season, what would the single-season rushing record look like? What if Jim Brown had a crack at it?

So let’s have some fun and look at the top single-season rushing leaders along with a few other running backs who played in 12 and 14-game seasons.

 

 

 

 

 

Best Rushing Single Season (Regardless of Games Played)

   Rank      Player                   Year       Team     Games  Att          Yards     Y/A        TD           Y/G

  1. Eric Dickerson    1984       Rams     16           379         2105       5.55        14           131.6
  2. Adrian Peterson 2012     Vikings  16           348         2097       6.03        12           131.1
  3. Jamal Lewis        2003       Ravens 16           387         2066       5.34        14           129.1
  4. Barry Sanders    1997       Lions      16           335         2053       6.13        11           128.3
  5. Terrell Davis       1998       Broncos 16          392         2008       5.12        21           125.5
  6. Chris Johnson    2009       Titans    16           358         2006       5.60        14           125.4
  7. O.J. Simpson      1973       Bills        14           332         2003       6.03        12           143.1
  8. Earl Campbell     1980       Oilers    15           373         1934       5.18        13           128.9
  9. Jim Brown           1963       Browns 14           291         1863       6.40        12           133.1
  10. Walter Payton   1977       Bears     14           339         1852       5.46        14           132.3
  11. O.J. Simpson      1975       Bills        14           329         1817       5.52        16           129.8
  12. Jim Brown           1958       Browns 12           257         1527       5.94        17           127.3

Now let’s look at what the Single Season Rushing Leader would look like if they all played a 16-game season. How did I come up with the numbers? Took the average yards-per-game and multiplied it by 16. Therefore the Attempts, Yards-Per-Rush Average and Touchdowns are taken off the equation.

Best Rushing Single Season (If All the Top Running Backs Played the Same 16-Game Season)

Rank      Player                   Year       Team     Games  Yards     Y/G

  1. O.J. Simpson      1973       Bills        16           2290       143.1
  2. Jim Brown           1963       Browns 16           2130       133.1
  3. Walter Payton   1977       Bears     16           2117       132.3
  4. Eric Dickerson    1984       Rams     16           2105       131.6
  5. Adrian Peterson 2012     Vikings  16           2097       131.1
  6. O.J. Simpson      1975       Bills        16           2077       129.8
  7. Jamal Lewis        2003       Ravens 16           2066       129.1
  8. Earl Campbell     1980       Oilers    16           2062       128.9
  9. Barry Sanders    1997       Lions      16           2053       128.3
  10. Jim Brown           1958       Browns 16           2037       127.3
  11. Terrell Davis       1998       Broncos 16          2008       125.5
  12. Chris Johnson    2009       Titans    16           2006       125.4

Let’s look at the Single-Season Receiving Yards in a season leaders. The majority of them played in 16-game seasons so I took the top three and then found the best 12 and 14-game seasons by some of the NFL’s greatest receivers to see how they measure up with the leaders of today.

Best Single-Season Receiving Yards in a Season (Regardless of Games Played)

Rank      Player                   Year       Team     Games  Rec         Yards     Y/R         TD           Y/G

  1. Calvin Johnson  2012       Lions      16           122         1,964     16.1        5              122.8
  2. Jerry Rice             1995       49ers     16           122         1,848     15.1        15           115.5
  3. Isaac Bruce         1995       Rams     16           119         1,781     15.0        13           111.3
  4. Charley Hennigan 1961  Oilers    14           82           1,746     21.3        12           124.7
  5. Lance Alworth   1965       Chargers  14       69           1,602     23.2        14           114.4
  6. Elroy Hirsch         1951       Rams     12           66           1,495     22.7        17           124.6
  7. Don Mayard       1967       Jets        14           71           1,434     20.2        10           102.4
  8. Don Hutson        1942       Packers  12          74           1,211     16.4        17           110.1

Now let’s look at what the Single Season Receiving Leaders would look like if they all played a 16-game season. How did I come up with the numbers? Took the average yards-per-game and multiplied it by 16. Therefore the Receptions, Yards-Per-Reception Average and Touchdowns are taken off the equation.

Charlie Hennigan 1083x706

Best Single-Season Receiving Yards in a Season (If All the Top Wide Receivers Played the Same 16-Game Season)

Rank      Player                   Year       Team     Games  Yards     Y/G

  1. Charley Hennigan 1961  Oilers    16           1,995     124.7
  2. Elroy Hirsch         1951       Rams     16           1,994     124.6
  3. Calvin Johnson  2012       Lions      16           1,964     122.8
  4. Jerry Rice             1995       49ers     16           1,848     115.5
  5. Lance Alworth   1965       Chargers  16       1,830     114.4
  6. Isaac Bruce         1995       Rams     16           1,781     111.3
  7. Don Hutson        1942       Packers  16          1,762     110.1
  8. Don Mayard       1967       Jets        16           1,638     102.4

Ever thought who would be the career rushing leader had Jim Brown played in full 16-game seasons instead of 12 and 14 game seasons? Or what if Barry Sanders never walked away from the game, would he be the career rushing leader?

Career NFL Rushing Leaders

Rank      Player                   Team                     Years     Games  Yards     Y/A        Y/G

  1. Emmitt Smith     Cowboys             15           226         18,355   4.2          81.2
  2. Walter Payton   Bears                     13           190         16,726   4.4          88.0
  3. Barry Sanders    Lions                      10           153         15,269   5.0          99.8
  4. Jim Brown           Browns                 9             118         12,312   5.2          104.3

So let’s put all the running backs on the same level playing field. All things being equal, let’s say all four running back all played the highest number of years as Emmitt Smith, which is 15 seasons, then let’s say they all played those 15 seasons in 16-game seasons, never missing a game due to injury. Using their average-yard-per game over 240 games in the course of a 15 year career, what would the career rushing leaders look like?

Jim Brown 576x324 Career NFL Rushing Leaders Now

Rank      Player                   Team                     Years     Games  Yards     Y/A        Y/G

  1. Jim Brown           Browns                 15           240         25,032   5.2          104.3
  2. Barry Sanders    Lions                      15           240         23,952   5.0          99.8
  3. Walter Payton   Bears                     15           240         21,120   4.4          88.0
  4. Emmitt Smith     Cowboys             15           240         19,488   4.2          81.2

This is a fun attempt to see how things might look differently if they too had the benefit of a 16-game season. So let the debating begin, the minds think and wonder the “what-if” of what the NFL Record Book might look like today.

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